No won. Volume $19.7M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 73% · No change 26% · 50+ bps increase 2% | $660k |
| Bank of Mexico Decision in November? | No change 88% · 25 bps decrease 10% | $35k |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 1% · 4 (100 bps) 0% | $17k |
| Fed Decision in January? | No change 70% · 25 bps increase 26% · 25 bps decrease 2% | $16k |
| Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) | Hike–Pause–Hike 72% · Hike–Pause–Pause 25% | $14k |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes 73% · No 27% | $12k |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes 28% · No 73% | $12k |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting? | Yes 67% · No 34% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xe41a… | No | $8k |
| VortexTrading | No | $1k |
| jenneymar | No | $1k |
| ananotherone | No | $1k |
| 20anniv | No | $1k |
| labonnemethode | No | $1k |
| villapourlamama | No | $1k |
| benoitppppp | No | $1k |
| lemondechico07 | No | $983.19 |
| ochoooo | No | $938.60 |
| milliourienn | No | $867.39 |
| ashash111 | Yes | $823.16 |
1,132 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $27k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $23k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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