No won. Volume $21.7M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 50+ bps increase 2% | $137k |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 2% · 2 (50 bps) 1% | $28k |
| How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? | 2 (50 bps) 73% · 1 (25 bps) 28% | $21k |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March? | 25 bps increase 37% · 25 bps decrease 11% | $13k |
| Bank of Mexico Decision in November? | No change 87% · 25 bps decrease 13% | $12k |
| Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November | 25 bps increase 94% · No change 6% | $10k |
| Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $7k |
| Bank of Canada Decision in December? | No Change 63% · 25 bps increase 37% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Barnettxfgb | No | $790.59 |
| licensetofill | No | $174.88 |
| slant-sulfa | No | $25.88 |
| Z01WEFW | No | $24.40 |
| vikkS | Yes | $23.40 |
| quiddy | No | $15.31 |
| quidy | No | $13.94 |
| line29039 | Yes | $12.88 |
| win-at-all-cost | No | $11.48 |
| lasix928 | No | $11.10 |
| 0xbd45… | No | $10.14 |
| acryptofish | Yes | $9.94 |
1,141 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $9.6k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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