No 83% · Yes 17%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 18¢). Volume $54k, liquidity $544. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 66% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 2–November 8 10% | $30k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $19k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 65% · Anthropic 29% · OpenAI 2% | $15k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $14k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 63% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 9–November 15 6% | $10k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 11 29% · November 10 20% · No release by November 30 10% | $8k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | Yes 91% · No 10% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 435 |
| Lashibucapiguyonghand | Yes | 340 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 311 |
| shoobadooba18 | Yes | 220 |
| AlwaysTimed | Yes | 200 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 125 |
| molodoyy | Yes | 107 |
| asd56 | Yes | 50 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 47 |
| oilstud | Yes | 41 |
| 0x1283…2a9d | No | 2k |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 150 |
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