No 95% · Yes 5%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 80¢). Volume $17k, liquidity $25k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $539k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $276k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $259k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 6% | $192k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $183k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $172k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $151k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $139k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acal | Yes | 61 |
| BackingFavesEsports | Yes | 40 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 37 |
| longbill2 | Yes | 15 |
| 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | 4 |
| GironaNite | No | 63 |
| Lbr9 | No | 40 |
| nedsta | No | 36 |
| sfs22 | No | 5 |
| dshu | No | 4 |
| sdfdf32 | No | 3 |
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