No 61% · Yes 40%. Smart money leans No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 70¢). Volume $9.3k, liquidity $224. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 73% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 2–November 8 6% | $28k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $21k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 70% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $18k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $14k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 62% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 9–November 15 12% | $9k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 71% · No 30% | $7k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| notssf3 | Yes | 2k |
| xcaiox | Yes | 415 |
| FDSft | Yes | 398 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 398 |
| outcomes | Yes | 235 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 188 |
| edge999 | Yes | 170 |
| Djibooty | Yes | 93 |
| BAO95889 | Yes | 90 |
| Knowyourball | Yes | 79 |
| dedidanc | No | 3k |
| hwey346ed | No | 768 |
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