No won. Smart money backed Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 71¢) and lost. Volume $92k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 68% · Anthropic 29% · OpenAI 2% | $24k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 70% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 2–November 8 12% | $22k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 56% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5% | $13k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 40% · November 11 20% · November 9 9% | $11k |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | Yes 94% · No 7% | $10k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 76% · No 24% | $9k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 70% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 9–November 15 7% | $7k |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| seal7 | No | $7k |
| SPY-KT | No | $1k |
| 0x714d… | No | $1k |
| Tourte-chaude | No | $1k |
| molodoyy | No | $963.53 |
| Poivre | No | $743.32 |
| okc35 | No | $682.77 |
| 0x5113… | No | $580.02 |
| bignewsagencypro | No | $531.26 |
| conherence | No | $328.88 |
| Hugin-og-Munin | No | $225.91 |
| Savage-Snow | No | $200.76 |
187 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $17k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $8.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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