No 52% · Yes 49%. Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 19¢). Volume $11k, liquidity $450. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 61% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 2–November 8 11% | $23k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 68% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 3% | $21k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 55% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5% | $17k |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | Yes 94% · No 7% | $10k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 75% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 9–November 15 9% | $10k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 25% · November 11 24% | $7k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $5k |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 86% · No 14% | $5k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wish- | Yes | 1k |
| NoTeacher | Yes | 155 |
| 0x8df9…468c | Yes | 98 |
| G24L8 | Yes | 94 |
| X-Rabbit.Sezu | Yes | 59 |
| smarterstrat | Yes | 40 |
| SuperTests | Yes | 30 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 29 |
| scotsban | Yes | 21 |
| cybermaxs | Yes | 20 |
| KimchiCapital | No | 1k |
| molodoyy | No | 701 |
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