No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 55¢) and lost. Volume $46k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026? | 380-399 44% · 360-379 43% · 400-419 10% | $334k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 340-359 15% · 360-379 14% · 300-319 13% | $227k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026? | 65-89 38% · 40-64 24% · 90-114 21% | $78k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Callum Turner 63% · Jack Lowden 15% · No Bond chosen 10% | $55k |
| "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office | <28m 26% · 28m-31m 26% · 34m-37m 17% | $20k |
| Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Avengers: Doomsday 54% · Spider-Man: Brand New Day 45% | $11k |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $9k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 320-339 13% · 280-299 10% · 340-359 10% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| fanat12 | No | $372.27 |
| buyaoshangtou1 | Yes | $209.44 |
| fanat12 | Yes | $168.66 |
| junkbonds | No | $167.07 |
| Novatan | Yes | $157.16 |
| 0x5095… | Yes | $139.11 |
| 0xbe78… | No | $98.45 |
| coinflip123 | No | $71.77 |
| Novatan | No | $53.64 |
| Allleex-564 | Yes | $52.38 |
| 0x8d85… | No | $49.60 |
| 0xa5cb… | Yes | $33.12 |
93 wallets held a position at the close. The 49 biggest winners took $1.8k; the 44 biggest losers gave up $4.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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