No 68% · Yes 32%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 14¢). Volume $4.0k, liquidity $26k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 37% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.9M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $8.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $4.6M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 76% · Republican Party 24% | $2.8M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.6M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 10% | $824k |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 60% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 40% | $519k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fkpa | Yes | 293 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 132 |
| shiifoo | Yes | 60 |
| K80PRO | Yes | 44 |
| a5533 | Yes | 28 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 27 |
| pppnn | Yes | 24 |
| pupka-zalupka | Yes | 20 |
| 0x462996 | Yes | 20 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 20 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 600 |
| cigarettes | No | 40 |
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