Who is the smart money on “Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

No 97% · Yes 3%. Volume $866k, liquidity $58k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
97%
Yes
3%
Volume
$866k
Liquidity
$58k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

0 wallets · 0 known shares

No

6 wallets · 14,176 known shares

insidero
entry 92¢ · P&L $18k · win 74%
0xdafd…5ffb
entry 93¢ · P&L $7.9k · win 85%
HotDogs
entry 97¢ · P&L $21k · win 94%
0x275c…6090
entry 94¢ · P&L $1.5k · win 88%
SVOI
entry 95¢ · P&L $3.9k · win 62%
sosalevaisho
entry 95¢ · P&L $1.3k · win 80%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 97% · Yes 3%, on $866k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

live

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31,… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

2.9%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity	Change24h
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$275k	$159k	3.5%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 96% · No 5%	$240k	$173k	1%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$154k	$71k	2.1%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes 91% · No 10%	$107k	$72k	0%
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes 66% · No 34%	$82k	$31k	0.2%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes 36% · No 65%	$79k	$97k	1%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes 71% · No 29%	$61k	$72k	-2.5%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes 51% · No 49%	$60k	$79k	-3%

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction