Who is the smart money on “Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?

No 95% · Yes 5%. Volume $87k, liquidity $18k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
95%
Yes
5%
Volume
$87k
Liquidity
$18k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 50 known shares

mocamoca
entry 11¢ · P&L $44k · win 22%

No

1 wallets · 800 known shares

64MGX75VLQ
entry 86¢ · P&L $7.9k · win 94%

More Geopolitics markets

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes 92% · No 8% · 24h volume $824k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 95% · Yes 6% · 24h volume $424k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 83% · Yes 18% · 24h volume $231k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?
Yes 74% · No 27% · 24h volume $225k
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 97% · Yes 3% · 24h volume $190k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes 96% · No 4% · 24h volume $184k

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 95% · Yes 5%, on $87k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?

live

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

4.9%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity	Change24h
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 92% · No 8%	$824k	$86k	-4.9%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 6% · No 95%	$424k	$407k	-1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 18% · No 83%	$231k	$271k	-2%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes 74% · No 27%	$225k	$85k	-7%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$190k	$282k	0.2%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 96% · No 4%	$184k	$75k	0.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 41% · No 60%	$173k	$147k	1.1%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 90% · No 11%	$160k	$59k	23.1%

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction