No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 25¢) and lost. Volume $56k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $247k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $239k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $157k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 27% · No 74% | $150k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $145k |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $125k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 41% · No 59% | $123k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $121k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Alpheo | No | $1k |
| groth | No | $320.70 |
| 0x7bd6… | No | $152 |
| hymolu | No | $142 |
| cmarx | No | $100.65 |
| PavtheGreat | No | $97.05 |
| Trestik | Yes | $63.60 |
| TruthseekerR | Yes | $58.01 |
| cedriss | No | $48.18 |
| hadarhaddad | No | $32.71 |
| polpolmeow | No | $27.48 |
| 0x8d85… | No | $17.70 |
95 wallets held a position at the close. The 45 biggest winners took $2.6k; the 50 biggest losers gave up $1.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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