No 93% · Yes 8%. Volume $13k, liquidity $7.3k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 68% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 3% | $19k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 56% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5% | $17k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 70% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 2–November 8 11% | $17k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 73% · November 16–November 22 11% · November 9–November 15 8% | $10k |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | Yes 93% · No 7% | $10k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $9k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 25% · November 11 24% | $7k |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 86% · No 14% | $5k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| balthazar | Yes | 1k |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 440 |
| galhammerman | Yes | 160 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 152 |
| pppnn | Yes | 100 |
| navber | Yes | 75 |
| richyee | Yes | 51 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 23 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 20 |
| 0x00000000000000000000000000000000 | Yes | 20 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 2k |
| myfrenda | No | 141 |
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