No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 64¢) and lost. Volume $4.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $71k |
| Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30? | Yes 68% · No 32% | $42k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $40k |
| Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? | China 80% · No meeting by December 31 14% · United States 1% | $33k |
| Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? | Yes 25% · No 76% | $13k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Donald Trump 1% · Ivanka Trump 1% · Donald Trump Jr. 1% | $9k |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $9k |
| Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| azon7 | No | $717.36 |
| jeev | No | $263.78 |
| clazzy1 | No | $249.42 |
| BlondBeast | No | $36.25 |
| lucikdemon | No | $22.96 |
| ezfzezefze | No | $21.09 |
| 33121377 | No | $19.19 |
| jkerkela | No | $18.41 |
| t4lk13 | No | $14.25 |
| hgr1 | No | $13.26 |
| Mysaenn | No | $12.80 |
| mooshana | No | $11.64 |
56 wallets held a position at the close. The 18 biggest winners took $1.4k; the 38 biggest losers gave up $1.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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