Who is the smart money on “Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?

No 93% · Yes 7%. Volume $16k, liquidity $15k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
93%
Yes
7%
Volume
$16k
Liquidity
$15k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

93%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No ranked or flagged wallets on this market yet.

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 17% · No 84%	$528k	$303k	-1%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 96% · No 4%	$298k	$51k	0.3%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes 74% · No 26%	$263k	$84k	-2.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$215k	$62k	-0.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 43% · No 57%	$210k	$141k	-0.8%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$210k	$451k	-0.1%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes 86% · No 14%	$182k	$30k	0%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes 58% · No 42%	$166k	$55k	6.5%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 6¢ask 8¢spread 2¢mid 7¢

SizeBid

AskSize

736¢

8¢263

1.3k5¢

9¢2.6k

8694¢

10¢3.1k

8.7k3¢

11¢1.6k

8.0k2¢

12¢3.0k

18k1¢

13¢1.0k

14¢2.0k

23¢260

28¢278

43¢351

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

No holders reported for this market yet.

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?$26k
2US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?$11k
3US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$8k
4US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$7k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$5k
6Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$3k
7US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$3k
8US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$1k
9US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?$1k

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?” on Polymarket?: No 93% · Yes 7%, on $16k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?

No 93% · Yes 7%. Volume $16k, liquidity $15k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
93%
Yes
7%
Volume
$16k
Liquidity
$15k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?

live

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

93%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No ranked or flagged wallets on this market yet.

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 17% · No 84%	$528k	$303k	-1%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 96% · No 4%	$298k	$51k	0.3%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes 74% · No 26%	$263k	$84k	-2.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$215k	$62k	-0.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 43% · No 57%	$210k	$141k	-0.8%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$210k	$451k	-0.1%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes 86% · No 14%	$182k	$30k	0%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes 58% · No 42%	$166k	$55k	6.5%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 6¢ask 8¢spread 2¢mid 7¢

SizeBid

AskSize

736¢

8¢263

1.3k5¢

9¢2.6k

8694¢

10¢3.1k

8.7k3¢

11¢1.6k

8.0k2¢

12¢3.0k

18k1¢

13¢1.0k

14¢2.0k

23¢260

28¢278

43¢351

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

No holders reported for this market yet.

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?$26k
2US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?$11k
3US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$8k
4US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$7k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$5k
6Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$3k
7US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$3k
8US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$1k
9US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?$1k

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?” on Polymarket?: No 93% · Yes 7%, on $16k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.