No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $600. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $9k |
| Gas prices on November 6? | <$4.0800 88% · $4.0800-4.0899 6% · $4.0900-4.0999 4% | $8k |
| Canada GDP: September 2026 (MoM) | -0.2 to -0.1% 57% · 0.0 to 0.1% 26% · <-0.2% 13% | $6k |
| Core PCE YoY - October 2026 | 3.2% 23% · 3.4%+ 5% | $5k |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $4k |
| 2026 World GDP Growth | 3.1% 30% · 3.2% 29% | $4k |
| Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)? | 0.0%–0.8% 31% · 4.0%+ 3% · <-2.4% 2% | $3k |
| Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%? | Yes 48% · No 52% | $3k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| BetterFish | No | $18.00 |
| PERP-RFQ | Yes | −$18.00 |
2 wallets held a position at the close. The 1 biggest winners took $18; the 1 biggest losers gave up $18. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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