No won. Smart money backed Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $222k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Marco Rubio 19% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $2.4M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 2% | $1.2M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.1M |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B | Liquid 41% · BetBoom Team 59% | $725k |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 81% · AEK 8% | $625k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 14% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $594k |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | TheMongolz 26% · FURIA 75% | $571k |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club | Draw (Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club) 95% · Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 4% | $513k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| JoshuaJohnson7967 | No | $690.55 |
| vacationidea | No | $410.42 |
| AngelaFrench7343 | No | $335.38 |
| PatrickNash2660 | No | $316 |
| NancyHuerta4835 | No | $295.06 |
| BarbaraDavis7410 | No | $294.80 |
| BrittanyStevens5488 | No | $280.96 |
| igive | No | $280.09 |
| ChristopherNelson9383 | No | $270.80 |
| StevenSmith1724 | No | $266.06 |
| AudreyBishop7264 | No | $263.94 |
| KimberlyRobles1139 | No | $249.83 |
412 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $11k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $11k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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