No 98% · Yes 3%. Smart money leans No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 89¢). Volume $16k, liquidity $14k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $252k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 77% · No 24% | $248k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $248k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $162k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $156k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $146k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 99% · No 2% | $110k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 85% · No 15% | $100k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| goask | Yes | 489 |
| Bob65 | Yes | 284 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 272 |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 250 |
| Enjoy72 | Yes | 236 |
| 0xa9dc…01c9 | Yes | 160 |
| purebaby | Yes | 155 |
| Nayara.Rocha | Yes | 150 |
| Hermnann | Yes | 104 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 88 |
| quan | No | 1k |
| 0x463e…80d5 | No | 1k |
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