No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢). Volume $269k, liquidity $67k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet nex… →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 94% · No 6% | $317k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 77% · No 23% | $267k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $176k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $161k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 88% | $151k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $145k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 84% · No 16% | $115k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 47% · No 53% | $111k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CriptanTDA | Yes | 5k |
| Jesuschristsuperstar | Yes | 5k |
| donthackme | Yes | 4k |
| orifcontex | Yes | 3k |
| kenzy555 | Yes | 3k |
| ptibor | Yes | 3k |
| 2kparabellum | Yes | 2k |
| LocchioDiBenfica | Yes | 2k |
| 0x50eac5 | Yes | 1k |
| rocky42009 | Yes | 1k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 46k |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 4 |
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