Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Tech & Science · AI · live

Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Volume $899, liquidity $942. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$899
Liquidity
$942

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

3 wallets · 390 known shares

iutwpfalwhale
entry 1¢ · all-time +$103k · win 57%
merodwhale
entry — · all-time +$132k · win 37%
Hugin-og-Munin
entry — · all-time +$28k · win 50%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More AI markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $899 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?

live

Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share th… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

99%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes390100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

AI markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?	Google 53% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 6%	$45k	$367k
Which company has the best AI model end of November?	Google 62% · Anthropic 33% · OpenAI 2%	$33k	$45k
When will Gemini Carbon be released?	November 9–November 15 60% · November 16–November 22 16% · November 2–November 8 10%	$22k	$12k
Gemini Carbon released on...?	November 10 26% · November 11 23% · November 3 11%	$14k	$10k
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes 7% · No 93%	$14k	$18k
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	Yes 74% · No 26%	$9k	$8k
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes 67% · No 34%	$7k	$3k
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	Yes 74% · No 26%	$7k	$6k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.1¢ask 1.9¢spread 1.8¢mid 1¢

SizeBid

AskSize

890.1¢

1.9¢30

2¢20

2.1¢60

3¢55

4¢61

4.9¢50

5¢73

8.5¢100

8.6¢60

15¢60

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	670	$193k
iutwpfal	Yes	292	$103k
jwagner1996	Yes	100	$60.33
merod	Yes	61	$132k
0xf94d12	Yes	50	−$906.69
balthazar	Yes	50	$1.2M
LornaPredicts	Yes	40	$15k
Hugin-og-Munin	Yes	37	$28k
triklozoid	Yes	20	$8k
jackli003	Yes	15	$646.31
0xa5ef39	No	1k	$0
a5533	No	20	−$8k

Smart-money conviction · AI

Smart-money conviction

1Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?$3k
2Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?$843.58
3Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?$1k
4Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?$363.57
5Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?$658.72
6Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?$258.40
7Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?$292.19
8Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$320.96