Elise Mertens won. Smart money backed Marie Bouzkova (22 ranked wallets, average entry 44¢) and lost. Volume $2.3M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 66% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.9M |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 92% · Draw (Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań) 5% · KKS Lech Poznań 1% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · JD Vance 19% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 42% · Bilibili Gaming 59% | $1.0M |
| Magic vs. Suns | Magic 50% · Suns 51% | $529k |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) | Warriors 52% · Heat 49% | $466k |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? | Yes 35% · No 65% | $461k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| bigwhale1337 | Elise Mertens | $2k |
| 0x7e32… | Elise Mertens | $2k |
| 0x9217… | Elise Mertens | $2k |
| wingwingwin | Elise Mertens | $1k |
| 0x35e7… | Elise Mertens | $851.85 |
| 0xc1d7… | Elise Mertens | $650.85 |
| THEdirkdiggler | Elise Mertens | $596.22 |
| 0x80d9… | Elise Mertens | $578.24 |
| EVhunter69 | Elise Mertens | $563.28 |
| fa9 | Elise Mertens | $540.93 |
| 0x84a3… | Elise Mertens | $452.37 |
| Giboia1956 | Elise Mertens | $343.30 |
656 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $18k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $417k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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