Sorana Cirstea won. Smart money backed Maria Timofeeva (16 ranked wallets, average entry 41¢) and lost. Volume $614k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 43% · IA 9% · IA, KS 2% | $13.3M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 96% · Republican Party 4% | $8.2M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 81% · R Senate, D House 17% · Republicans Sweep 3% | $6.2M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 81% · Republican Party 19% | $4.7M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 81% · Ken Paxton (R) 18% | $3.8M |
| Florida Governor Election Winner | Byron Donalds (R) 66% · David Jolly (D) 34% | $2.0M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 86% · Mike Rogers (R) 14% | $1.9M |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Top Esports 21% · Invictus Gaming 79% | $1.9M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| NS13 | Sorana Cirstea | $16k |
| yabanci | Sorana Cirstea | $14k |
| Limousin | Sorana Cirstea | $14k |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Sorana Cirstea | $12k |
| LightParadox | Sorana Cirstea | $12k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Sorana Cirstea | $8k |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Sorana Cirstea | $6k |
| Venusian | Sorana Cirstea | $4k |
| MadridTime | Sorana Cirstea | $3k |
| wingwingwin | Sorana Cirstea | $2k |
| 12xmrbolt | Sorana Cirstea | $2k |
| 01258787xy48487484545122 | Sorana Cirstea | $1k |
386 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $103k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $104k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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