Julia Grabher won. Smart money backed Laura Pigossi (9 ranked wallets, average entry 38¢) and lost. Volume $273k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Brian Kemp 1% · Donald Trump 1% | $3.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 3% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.3M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · James Talarico 2% | $869k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $766k |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Trail Blazers 86% · Suns 14% | $430k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 41% · David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $413k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 3648393489047 | Julia Grabher | $17k |
| Venusian | Julia Grabher | $3k |
| 0x54ba… | Julia Grabher | $3k |
| MadridTime | Julia Grabher | $1k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Julia Grabher | $916.77 |
| Limousin | Julia Grabher | $878.11 |
| LightParadox | Julia Grabher | $696.51 |
| XPX0086 | Julia Grabher | $172.97 |
| iWasEnough | Julia Grabher | $162.50 |
| andereman | Julia Grabher | $150.00 |
| Jxtoas | Julia Grabher | $143.82 |
| poshposh | Julia Grabher | $122.12 |
245 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $29k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $16k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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