Julia Riera won. Smart money backed Julia Grabher (5 ranked wallets, average entry 27¢) and lost. Volume $54k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 69% · No change 28% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.7M |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | FURIA 60% · BetBoom Team 40% | $1.4M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $939k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · Kamala Harris 4% | $758k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 39% · Marco Rubio 19% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $565k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 30% | $425k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $390k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 42% · No 59% | $258k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| yesmate | Julia Riera | $3k |
| HVAB | Julia Riera | $880.35 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Julia Riera | $674.59 |
| Venusian | Julia Riera | $290.23 |
| 0x61a6… | Julia Riera | $233.25 |
| Oulu18 | Julia Riera | $170.49 |
| 0x1cba… | Julia Riera | $160.69 |
| MadridTime | Julia Riera | $143.01 |
| cashdealer | Julia Riera | $125.34 |
| DM134 | Julia Riera | $114.35 |
| ded33 | Julia Riera | $104.94 |
| VTL777 | Julia Riera | $73.75 |
110 wallets held a position at the close. The 53 biggest winners took $6.4k; the 57 biggest losers gave up $4.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
The smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.