Marta Kostyuk won. Smart money backed Ashlyn Krueger (30 ranked wallets, average entry 31¢) and lost. Volume $1.0M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · James Talarico 4% · Andy Beshear 3% | $1.5M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $972k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · James Talarico 2% · Ivanka Trump 1% | $842k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $691k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic | Xinyu Wang 64% · Antonia Ruzic 36% | $366k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $336k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ZizzWizz | Marta Kostyuk | $147k |
| 8a7sh2 | Marta Kostyuk | $4k |
| doutrustlight | Marta Kostyuk | $2k |
| Juan-Soto | Marta Kostyuk | $1k |
| cradlle | Marta Kostyuk | $659.02 |
| 1783056319714 | Marta Kostyuk | $608.00 |
| Artfulone | Marta Kostyuk | $545.83 |
| BarryRyan | Marta Kostyuk | $382.51 |
| 0x70dc… | Marta Kostyuk | $360 |
| 0xaa0e… | Marta Kostyuk | $358.80 |
| 0x792e… | Marta Kostyuk | $293.18 |
| Takeshirosoku | Marta Kostyuk | $252.02 |
547 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $162k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $59k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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