Tena Lukas won. Smart money backed Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (2 ranked wallets, average entry 61¢) and lost. Volume $0. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
212 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $646k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 82% · Mike Rogers (R) 19% | $569k |
| Chennai Open, Qualification: Aliona Falei vs Rada Zolotareva | Aliona Falei 68% · Rada Zolotareva 32% | $496k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $454k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $447k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| BoogieMan007 | Tena Lukas | $518.97 |
| Rebecca888888888 | Tena Lukas | $287.32 |
| 0xaa08… | Tena Lukas | $221.28 |
| PleaseBro | Tena Lukas | $193.90 |
| BettingAiGen | Tena Lukas | $171.58 |
| capi123 | Tena Lukas | $116.73 |
| BruceW5yne | Tena Lukas | $93.61 |
| IDKMMM | Tena Lukas | $75.61 |
| 0x033a… | Tena Lukas | $69.53 |
| 0x2b0b… | Tena Lukas | $61.38 |
| 0x4488… | Tena Lukas | $57.62 |
| Igaveup | Tena Lukas | $51.36 |