Renata Zarazua won. Smart money backed Despina Papamichail (7 ranked wallets, average entry 18¢) and lost. Volume $120k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Andy Beshear 3% · James Talarico 3% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $941k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $919k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $695k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 43% · David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $401k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $332k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| MadridTime | Renata Zarazua | $2k |
| LightParadox | Renata Zarazua | $581.33 |
| thestingsnake | Renata Zarazua | $491.47 |
| tradecraft | Renata Zarazua | $477.10 |
| Limousin | Renata Zarazua | $457.04 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Renata Zarazua | $352.23 |
| Venusian | Renata Zarazua | $272.14 |
| viniplay | Despina Papamichail | $205.16 |
| VeryLucky888 | Renata Zarazua | $148.96 |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Renata Zarazua | $122.10 |
| 0x1cba… | Renata Zarazua | $116.99 |
| 0x1e3b… | Renata Zarazua | $108.27 |
140 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $5.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $6.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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