Mai Hontama won. Smart money backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew (8 ranked wallets, average entry 31¢) and lost. Volume $221k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Marco Rubio 19% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $1.9M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 3% | $1.4M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.1M |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club | Draw (Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club) 94% · Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 6% | $604k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 17% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% | $588k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 17% · No 84% | $515k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Christine Lagarde 8% | $504k |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 81% · AEK 8% | $414k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Mai Hontama | $9k |
| Venusian | Mai Hontama | $5k |
| 0xe713… | Mai Hontama | $3k |
| HVAB | Mai Hontama | $3k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Mai Hontama | $2k |
| austr | Mai Hontama | $2k |
| wingwingwin | Mai Hontama | $1k |
| MadridTime | Mai Hontama | $591.06 |
| DDPOLY | Mai Hontama | $360 |
| 0x5f6c… | Mai Hontama | $341.50 |
| gangsterd | Mai Hontama | $300.65 |
| 0xdd9d… | Mai Hontama | $300.39 |
181 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $28k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $29k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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