No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 87¢) and lost. Volume $5.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
31 wallets held a position at the close. The 19 biggest winners took $283; the 12 biggest losers gave up $2.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.75–$2.0T 31% · $2.0–$2.25T 21% · $1.5–$1.75T 18% | $87k |
| Anthropic IPO Date | November 20 26% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 18% · November 19 18% | $30k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $30k |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 54% · Anthropic 46% | $24k |
| OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap | 1.5T+ 39% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 25% · 1.25T–1.5T 14% | $22k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $13k |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $13k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $13k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| JosephIsGreat | No | $93.50 |
| ArthurGreen | Yes | $47.64 |
| MaaaammaMia | No | $30.65 |
| RaymondLee59181 | No | $12.73 |
| betty4 | No | $10.21 |
| asdfsadfccc1 | No | $9.50 |
| bbbd34 | No | $9.50 |
| ddd333aaa | No | $9.40 |
| aaadda | No | $9.40 |
| ttabbbb | No | $9.40 |
| asdf1asdf111 | No | $6.20 |
| sadfsadf | No | $6.05 |