Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $899. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $3.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.0M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $810k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul | Ben Shelton 97% · Tommy Paul 4% | $606k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala | Antonia Ruzic 7% · Alexandra Eala 93% | $471k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 72% · Puma Shen 29% | $440k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 39% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $423k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $397k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| HLuck | Up | $40.63 |
| johncashi | Up | $3 |
| conormurphy | Up | $1.12 |
| jeev | Down | −$27.94 |
| CANICHOLAS | Down | −$6 |
| johncashi | Down | −$3.09 |
| 0xc45f… | Down | −$1.95 |
| rocky42015 | Down | −$1.79 |
| qqqppp-l1 | Down | −$0.60 |
9 wallets held a position at the close. The 3 biggest winners took $45; the 6 biggest losers gave up $41. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
The smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
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