Up won. Smart money backed Down (3 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $5.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 65% · No change 36% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.3M |
| Heat vs. Warriors | Heat 41% · Warriors 59% | $1.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $962k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 20% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $729k |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) | Warriors 37% · Heat 64% | $580k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $397k |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | PARIVISION 30% · Natus Vincere 71% | $375k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| test456y78 | Up | $321.02 |
| hwidelance | Up | $28.45 |
| 0x6123… | Up | $19.41 |
| spyladder | Up | $10.86 |
| anak81 | Up | $10 |
| dimaar | Up | $7.46 |
| 0x06ce...c70b8b | Up | $7.32 |
| 0x49d9… | Up | $7.00 |
| Hadikhan69 | Up | $1.92 |
| pbspread | Up | $1.79 |
| johncashi | Up | $1.18 |
| 0xe5c2… | Up | $1.15 |
34 wallets held a position at the close. The 15 biggest winners took $420; the 19 biggest losers gave up $682. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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