Up won. Smart money backed Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 54¢) and lost. Volume $1.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.1M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $9.2M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $6.3M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 75% · Republican Party 26% | $3.5M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $3.0M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.6M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 63% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $1.0M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 11% | $890k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x1bc3… | Up | $82.50 |
| VeruK1 | Up | $35.19 |
| VeruK4 | Up | $34.71 |
| VeruK2 | Up | $33.00 |
| PRST1 | Up | $31.54 |
| WikingD2 | Up | $31.07 |
| derderderder | Up | $30.95 |
| Veruk3 | Up | $30.87 |
| wikingdusa | Up | $30.63 |
| kainarvasek | Up | $17.29 |
| 0xa87a… | Up | $10.00 |
| cjie1888 | Up | $4.39 |
35 wallets held a position at the close. The 23 biggest winners took $394; the 12 biggest losers gave up $195. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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