Down won. Smart money backed Up (1 ranked wallet, average entry 43¢) and lost. Volume $1.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 73% · Draw (AEK vs. Real Madrid CF) 22% · AEK 8% | $6.2M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $3.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 23% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 2% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC | Liverpool FC 56% · Fenerbahçe SK 14% | $1.4M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $804k |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC | Arsenal FC 77% · SK Slavia Praha 7% | $687k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CERTova | Down | $71.34 |
| Si-gambler | Down | $34.88 |
| 0x3be0… | Down | $29.88 |
| grozgeg | Down | $14.25 |
| lostwo1f | Down | $9.96 |
| nlazic | Down | $9.82 |
| lazime8 | Down | $5.38 |
| 8x8x8x | Down | $4.38 |
| gogotrader | Down | $3.83 |
| Arbitrachain | Down | $3.70 |
| M6vT3cL8wK | Down | $3.44 |
| 0x69fa… | Down | $3.10 |
37 wallets held a position at the close. The 23 biggest winners took $214; the 14 biggest losers gave up $268. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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