Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 54¢) and lost. Volume $0. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 12% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 2% | $4.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 6% · Andy Beshear 3% | $2.3M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | 76ers 55% · Pistons 45% | $840k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $778k |
| Bucks vs. Celtics | Bucks 15% · Celtics 85% | $741k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · James Talarico 1% | $703k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Niko11111 | Up | $14.29 |
| yinchaokun5 | Up | $4.30 |
| 0x8f80… | Up | $1.87 |
| Frankinator | Up | $1.51 |
| hthtrhryj | Up | $1.05 |
| 0xa5ca… | Down | −$4.23 |
| matines | Down | −$2 |
| 0xe83a… | Down | −$1 |
| TISHE | Down | −$1 |
| soulaow | Down | −$1 |
| Robocop8 | Down | −$1 |
| soulaow | Up | −$0.57 |
12 wallets held a position at the close. The 5 biggest winners took $23; the 7 biggest losers gave up $11. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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