0x095dcfb123a4bc035ee6b0d624bab0cc964352cf
Extra-Large-Begonia has lost $390k on Polymarket across 689 markets, winning 87% of the ones that resolved. Economics is the strength: $16k over 18 positions, mostly Fed & Rates markets, with Politics next at $12k. The leaderboard ranks it #249 in Economics. Right now it holds 34 open positions worth $127k, the largest on “Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California electi…” (No). Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 39k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 24k |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 22k |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 16k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 11k |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 6k |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 5k |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 3k |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 3k |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 3k |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 2k |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 2k |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| dromedaryy | $176k | $173k |
| HH168 | $516k | $152k |
| Ronaldo2100 | $366k | $76k |
| Hauchn | $319k | $71k |
| 0x6302… | $113k | $64k |
| topdaddy1 | $47k | $59k |
| HHYP | $94k | $54k |
| MiuMiuYan | $107k | $51k |
| pako | $621k | $50k |
| 0x16c7… | −$158k | $47k |
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