0x11570a451726827346e8fb9cb03800b0c5c8c118
Shadowmarket121 on Polymarket: -$1.8k total P&L, 23% win rate, 654 markets traded, $111k volume.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $6.03 | 45¢ | 33¢ | −$0.73 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000? | No | $2 | 75¢ | 82¢ | $0.14 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | Yes | $4.64 | 16¢ | 20¢ | $0.19 |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | No | $2 | 54¢ | 41¢ | −$0.26 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? | No | $1 | 77¢ | 77¢ | $0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%? | Yes | $4.72 | 17¢ | 15¢ | −$0.09 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | Yes | $3.26 | 22¢ | 20¢ | −$0.08 |
| Will Kenneth Walker III have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | $3.79 | 19¢ | 12¢ | −$0.28 |
| Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | $2 | 31¢ | 13¢ | −$0.36 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-07 House election by 10%-15%? | Yes | $1 | 28¢ | 26¢ | −$0.03 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%? | Yes | $1 | 10¢ | 4¢ | −$0.06 |
| Will Runway have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | $5.88 | 23¢ | 0¢ | −$1.35 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| joseph00677 | $4.2M | $5.7M | 11.9% | 43.5% | $47.1M |
| googleplay | $1.5M | $5.0M | 5% | 60.7% | $30.3M |
| raybanman | $1.1M | $2.5M | 4.8% | 41.8% | $19.3M |
| 0xb4f9… | $437k | $2.5M | 2.3% | 49.2% | $16.0M |
| Kch-Temp | $2.0M | $2.2M | 4.7% | 53.4% | $48.1M |
| primm | $3.4M | $1.9M | 7.2% | 46.8% | $48.1M |
| taylorsversion | −$715k | $1.6M | -6.1% | 52.3% | $12.4M |
| juice-fruit | $1.2M | $1.4M | 5.8% | 58.8% | $14.8M |
| goshkam | −$1.4M | $1.0M | -23.8% | 50% | $6.0M |
| liquiditycrisis | $257k | $965k | 6.3% | 55% | $4.7M |