0x143732d8a06bd1596c694f7873cd493be80aacfe
frozenriver has made $227k on Polymarket across 20,244 markets, winning 42% of the ones that resolved. Crypto is the strength: $39k over 3,120 positions, mostly Bitcoin markets. Right now it holds 117 open positions worth $8.8k, the largest on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No). It spreads small stakes widely, about $750 per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 3k |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | No | 640 |
| France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? | No | 480 |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | No | 454 |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | No | 3k |
| Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | Yes | 1k |
| Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? | No | 321 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 3k |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 250 |
| Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | Yes | 717 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 200 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 220 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Tokor | $767k | $619k |
| 0xe5e1… | $209k | $272k |
| A1729 | $192k | $169k |
| andy8980 | $163k | $163k |
| RLWG | $121k | $163k |
| ApexUpDown | −$8k | $161k |
| Telawin | −$31k | $142k |
| rekt-prediction | $134k | $138k |
| kk7777777 | −$102k | $128k |
| oxe78sh4w98 | $36k | $126k |
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