0x14adb1481a5d8ceaa8baa15bab31478ca905c876
noland1 has lost $206 on Polymarket across 485 markets, winning 46% of the ones that resolved. Politics is the strength: $252 over 55 positions, mostly Geopolitics markets. Right now it holds 14 open positions worth $9, the largest on “Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?” (No). It spreads small stakes widely, about $611 per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | No | 22 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | No | 25 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 28 |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | Yes | 12 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 14 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? | Yes | 10 |
| Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 6 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | Yes | 17 |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? | Yes | 20 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 20 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| aHjCz | $1.3M | $1.2M |
| Abkha | $901k | $901k |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k |
| dromedaryy | $644k | $590k |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k |
| Lucerys | $582k | $525k |
| Yeueu | $472k | $523k |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k |
| 88888x88888 | $307k | $307k |
| sumolive | $267k | $267k |
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.