0x21c7435f543b763dd65a594a08928bc80d81191a
AlexCimmeria on Polymarket: -$60k total P&L, 38% win rate, 242 markets traded, $2.0M volume.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | $5k | 85¢ | 98¢ | $657.60 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $224k | 10¢ | 2¢ | −$19k |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | $1k | 79¢ | 84¢ | $58.50 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | $9k | 40¢ | 9¢ | −$3k |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | $10k | 20¢ | 7¢ | −$1k |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $11k | 27¢ | 6¢ | −$2k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Yes | $5k | 17¢ | 10¢ | −$330.92 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | $999.97 | 29¢ | 40¢ | $110.00 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | $400 | 78¢ | 92¢ | $57.80 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | $3k | 20¢ | 11¢ | −$234 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $10k | 13¢ | 3¢ | −$1k |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $1k | 15¢ | 18¢ | $44.10 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abkha | $901k | $901k | 26.3% | 100% | $3.5M |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k | 14.9% | 100% | $5.7M |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $826k | 3.6% | 49.7% | $30.5M |
| dromedaryy | $688k | $657k | 7.8% | 42.4% | $11.1M |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k | 15.5% | 41.8% | $15.6M |
| Yeueu | $460k | $523k | 3.1% | 48.9% | $6.5M |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k | -14.2% | 54.5% | $3.4M |
| aHjCz | $627k | $352k | 3.2% | 44.2% | $18.6M |
| defillama7 | $648k | $321k | 9.8% | 66.2% | $5.8M |
| sumolive | $267k | $267k | 59.2% | 100% | $453k |