0x2b5920274740ca61745eeb077587bf5bb4ff9db6
aHjCz on Polymarket: $594k total P&L, 45% win rate, 111,836 markets traded, $18.9M volume.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | $365.88 | 3¢ | 63¢ | $218.06 |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | Yes | $114.10 | 82¢ | 90¢ | $8.73 |
| Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | $365.88 | 2¢ | 26¢ | $86.59 |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours? | Yes | $83.48 | 77¢ | 75¢ | −$2.39 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | $71.83 | 30¢ | 71¢ | $29.37 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | Yes | $92.13 | 23¢ | 51¢ | $25.59 |
| Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | $365.88 | 5¢ | 9¢ | $14.82 |
| Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | $53.10 | 45¢ | 53¢ | $4.17 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | $56k | 20¢ | 0¢ | −$11k |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | $92.13 | 43¢ | 29¢ | −$12.56 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | $44k | 20¢ | 0¢ | −$9k |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | $27.45 | 41¢ | 72¢ | $8.38 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abkha | $901k | $901k | 26.3% | 100% | $3.5M |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k | 14.9% | 100% | $5.7M |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $826k | 3.4% | 49.6% | $31.0M |
| dromedaryy | $662k | $672k | 6.7% | 41.2% | $12.7M |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k | 15.5% | 41.8% | $15.6M |
| Yeueu | $460k | $523k | 3.1% | 48.9% | $6.5M |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k | -14.2% | 54.5% | $3.4M |
| Lucerys | $469k | $437k | 2.8% | 59.4% | $9.9M |
| aHjCz | $721k | $370k | 3.4% | 44.6% | $18.9M |
| defillama7 | $613k | $321k | 8.6% | 62.3% | $6.2M |