0x2df5ad0f2612c7bcf5f87543e126e0aa351051ac
Miguel262144 on Polymarket: $2.3k total P&L, 50% win rate, 9,510 markets traded, $269k volume.
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | No | $155 | 63¢ | 90¢ | $41.08 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | $2k | 43¢ | 7¢ | −$724.52 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | $106 | 68¢ | 97¢ | $30.63 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | $166 | 79¢ | 58¢ | −$34.34 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes | $142.99 | 67¢ | 60¢ | −$10.29 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | $55 | 64¢ | 97¢ | $18.18 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | No | $55 | 63¢ | 96¢ | $18.48 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? | No | $53.78 | 27¢ | 97¢ | $37.75 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Milwaukee Brewers | $99 | 52¢ | 53¢ | $0.17 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | $345.79 | 49¢ | 14¢ | −$120.39 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | $55 | 47¢ | 86¢ | $20.95 |
| Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $55 | 73¢ | 84¢ | $5.78 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abkha | $901k | $901k | 26.3% | 100% | $3.5M |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k | 14.9% | 100% | $5.7M |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $826k | 3.4% | 49.6% | $31.0M |
| dromedaryy | $662k | $672k | 6.7% | 41.2% | $12.7M |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k | 15.5% | 41.8% | $15.6M |
| Yeueu | $460k | $523k | 3.1% | 48.9% | $6.5M |
| e46m3 | $1.3M | $515k | 4.3% | 61% | $22.3M |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k | -14.2% | 54.5% | $3.4M |
| defillama7 | $613k | $321k | 8.6% | 62.3% | $6.2M |
| sumolive | $267k | $267k | 59.2% | 100% | $453k |