0x30f91b6df5a62ab2e504045e25fd449a23affbfc
taerv534 has made $89k on Polymarket across 2,010 markets, winning 37% of the ones that resolved. Other is the strength: $19k over 700 positions, with Economics next at $5.0k. Right now it holds 115 open positions worth $5.0k, the largest on “Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential no…” (Yes). It wins rarely but big: the payoff on the hits covers the misses. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 23k |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 316 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 282 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | 192 |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026? | No | 152 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | Yes | 352 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 145 |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 141 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 135 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 131 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | No | 111 |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 29k |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen | $1.9M | $1.5M |
| timetowander | $1.1M | $1.3M |
| 0xa3a4… | $1.6M | $1.1M |
| CoffeeDespiser | $1.1M | $992k |
| Abkha | $901k | $901k |
| LlamaLoco0000 | $790k | $865k |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $827k |
| duderr | $1.7M | $809k |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | $1.6M | $711k |
The same wallet's all-time P&L card, live from Polynyx, and every ranked Politics wallet by name — free to browse, bots filtered.
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.