0x328ae9a0564d71f721efc87356d583ea73a030c9
Lively-Award on Polymarket: $36k total P&L, 39% win rate, 194 markets traded, $880k volume. Ranked #119 in Economics.
See the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | $20k | 50¢ | 97¢ | $9k |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | $4k | 85¢ | 98¢ | $546.97 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | $5k | 66¢ | 35¢ | −$2k |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | $815 | 72¢ | 97¢ | $209.86 |
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | No | $692 | 81¢ | 97¢ | $110.55 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | $205.30 | 16¢ | 95¢ | $162.34 |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | Yes | $7k | 70¢ | 2¢ | −$5k |
| Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | $108 | 27¢ | 92¢ | $70.40 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $2k | 70¢ | 5¢ | −$1k |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | $738 | 25¢ | 6¢ | −$143.91 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $22k | 2¢ | 0¢ | −$320.92 |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | $10 | 89¢ | 96¢ | $0.68 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | $1.7M | $131k | 6.9% | 61.5% | $27.8M |
| ratehikes | $245k | $91k | 3.2% | 1.1% | $6.3M |
| ethBELIVER | $258k | $60k | 7.8% | 47.1% | $4.6M |
| Yeueu | $38k | $38k | 3.1% | 48.9% | $6.5M |
| Adrink3D | $43k | $38k | 3.9% | 63.8% | $1.1M |
| odsowner | $3k | $26k | 3.2% | 49.2% | $4.7M |
| 0x06b2… | $144k | $25k | 3.4% | 49% | $2.8M |
| TruongMyLan | $15k | $25k | 2.1% | 49.5% | $4.9M |
| baran-ludoman | $6k | $25k | 2.8% | 48.5% | $3.2M |
| neuroplasticompany | $21k | $20k | 11.9% | 42.2% | $187k |