0x38f50488b14a87769e0c5cd6c514b6c2e8ec6824
smellyEllie on Polymarket: $113k total P&L, 53% win rate, 3,523 markets traded, $4.8M volume. Ranked #187 in Economics.
See the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | $18k | 95¢ | 98¢ | $678.23 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | $10k | 99¢ | 100¢ | $54.14 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31? | Yes | $5k | 91¢ | 95¢ | $208.79 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15? | No | $4k | 88¢ | 92¢ | $158.84 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $18k | 22¢ | 17¢ | −$946.34 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | $3k | 92¢ | 92¢ | −$15 |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | $3k | 82¢ | 93¢ | $273.08 |
| Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? | No | $2k | 89¢ | 94¢ | $94.16 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | Yes | $8k | 23¢ | 24¢ | $60.19 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026? | No | $2k | 76¢ | 79¢ | $48.22 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | $2k | 85¢ | 81¢ | −$90 |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? | Yes | $2k | 58¢ | 75¢ | $352.02 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MiuMiuYan | $107k | $51k | 3% | 74.1% | $3.7M |
| luck00004 | −$352k | $44k | -7.3% | 56.3% | $4.3M |
| Yeueu | $38k | $38k | 3.1% | 48.9% | $6.5M |
| Adrink3D | $43k | $38k | 3.9% | 63.8% | $1.1M |
| zerone777 | $26k | $34k | 10.4% | 30.4% | $1.3M |
| TruongMyLan | $29k | $34k | 2% | 48.1% | $4.9M |
| kaxel78 | $25k | $33k | 9.2% | 31.7% | $1.3M |
| Tokor | $47k | $30k | 4.6% | 58.8% | $7.7M |
| Likaseent | $23k | $30k | 10.7% | 30.9% | $1.1M |
| akroll | $29k | $29k | 6.8% | 31.2% | $1.2M |