0x45746cf20077faef288188c9e0e31228f63fab3e
pollution on Polymarket: -$2.0k total P&L, 47% win rate, 829 markets traded, $194k volume.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | $2k | 67¢ | 84¢ | $321.03 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | $824.91 | 53¢ | 84¢ | $251.60 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $767.11 | 79¢ | 86¢ | $48.75 |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | No | $524.20 | 57¢ | 98¢ | $212.86 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | $521 | 87¢ | 94¢ | $35.87 |
| Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | $578.53 | 76¢ | 71¢ | −$30.56 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | $400 | 64¢ | 91¢ | $107.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | No | $366.27 | 67¢ | 96¢ | $106.01 |
| New pandemic before 2028? | No | $400.42 | 78¢ | 86¢ | $33.34 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | $380 | 52¢ | 89¢ | $139.90 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026? | No | $319.64 | 65¢ | 100¢ | $110.58 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | $500.18 | 63¢ | 64¢ | $1.97 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cat-dog | $37k | $9k | 9.5% | 73% | $549k |
| merod | $13k | $7k | 6.2% | 36.8% | $2.3M |
| PiMaak | $9k | $7k | 1.4% | 62.5% | $1.1M |
| shovelingdigging | $20k | $7k | 4.3% | 64.7% | $1.4M |
| fanat12 | $19k | $6k | 1.7% | 44.9% | $2.1M |
| JokerTheClown | $6k | $6k | 6.4% | 32.3% | $1.5M |
| dromedaryy | $6k | $6k | 3.7% | 41.2% | $12.7M |
| 0x9199… | $61k | $6k | 1.5% | 52.5% | $3.8M |
| SnipleRiffle | $10k | $5k | 25.2% | 97.7% | $285k |
| knrad | $8k | $5k | 1.2% | 66.4% | $3.4M |