0x4755072010b0a6963d5140b4c34ba6a544664338
QMG-MACRO on Polymarket: $7.6k total P&L, 75% win rate, 102 markets traded, $1.2M volume.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | $11k | 91¢ | 93¢ | $145.01 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | $6k | 29¢ | 99¢ | $4k |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $5k | 96¢ | 96¢ | −$2.11 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | $2k | 97¢ | 97¢ | $7.40 |
| Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting? | No | $2k | 94¢ | 90¢ | −$66.73 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | $826.52 | 98¢ | 100¢ | $11.30 |
| Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting? | No | $906.78 | 88¢ | 86¢ | −$22.67 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | $5k | 20¢ | 1¢ | −$975 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abkha | $901k | $901k | 26.3% | 100% | $3.5M |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k | 14.9% | 100% | $5.7M |
| dromedaryy | $662k | $672k | 3.5% | 41.2% | $12.7M |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k | 15.5% | 41.8% | $15.6M |
| Yeueu | $472k | $523k | 3.1% | 48.9% | $6.5M |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k | -14.2% | 54.5% | $3.4M |
| Lucerys | $490k | $451k | 2.9% | 59.4% | $10.1M |
| defillama7 | $610k | $321k | 7.7% | 62.3% | $6.2M |
| sumolive | $267k | $267k | 59.2% | 100% | $453k |
| alex20011 | $266k | $260k | 5% | 33.1% | $4.0M |