0x4989bfed5900ba096b08ba1f9b718464527c983e
macao.weather has made $13k on Polymarket across 1,008 markets, winning 28% of the ones that resolved. Tech & Science is the strength: $11k over 1,030 positions, mostly Science markets. Right now it holds 10 open positions worth $532, the largest on “Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in Oc…” (Yes). It wins rarely but big: the payoff on the hits covers the misses. It spreads small stakes widely, about $650 per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October? | Yes | 449 |
| Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record? | Yes | 61 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 30 |
| Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)? | Yes | 20 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 10 |
| Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October? | Yes | 478 |
| Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October? | Yes | 400 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 1? | Yes | 256 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1? | Yes | 100 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 31? | Yes | 150 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | $105k | $202k |
| 0xeb1b… | $94k | $186k |
| 241532532432 | $39k | $57k |
| OutOfMemory | $16k | $46k |
| TunSahur | $21k | $45k |
| HellYeahTrader | $4k | $37k |
| MoneyForSky06 | $12k | $35k |
| AuspiciousWolf | $14k | $31k |
| 0xyahn | $10k | $29k |
| JokerTheClown | $17k | $24k |
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