0x53e55bc7cb3d67ad177c023ce891ad076a9d6177
Arbguy has made $266k on Polymarket across 1,062 markets, winning 44% of the ones that resolved — $357k realized and -$92k still open. Politics is the strength: $56k over 17 positions, mostly Geopolitics markets, with Tech & Science next at $9.3k. That puts it #346 of the 1,000 most profitable wallets, and #151 in Economics. Right now it holds 21 open positions worth $62k, the largest on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (Yes). It trades size, averaging $61k of volume per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 155k |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.6M |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 893k |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 155k |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 107k |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 89k |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 464 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 12k |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | Yes | 350k |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? | Yes | 175k |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | Yes | 152k |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| timetowander | $4.1M | $1.3M |
| debased | $933k | $718k |
| elmcap2 | $1.1M | $281k |
| dromedaryy | $176k | $173k |
| 0x0704… | $516k | $152k |
| gaven-willwin | $9k | $124k |
| arjennnnn | $115k | $123k |
| foodenjoyer | $741k | $120k |
| XAE12Archangel | $1.9M | $107k |
| 0xcb31… | $94k | $96k |
The same wallet's all-time P&L card, live from Polynyx, and every ranked Economics wallet by name — free to browse, bots filtered.
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