0x588ce22fb2bf698e5a3f61447a44b3afe0ad1bf4
Drunken-Mentat on Polymarket: $4.7k total P&L, 77% win rate, 724 markets traded, $703k volume.
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | $1k | 82¢ | 83¢ | $10.03 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | No | $950.00 | 61¢ | 93¢ | $302.25 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | No | $1k | 73¢ | 72¢ | −$22.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | $1k | 77¢ | 77¢ | −$5 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | No | $1k | 76¢ | 76¢ | −$1 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | $1k | 77¢ | 68¢ | −$107.50 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $5k | 18¢ | 14¢ | −$204.99 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | $760.94 | 64¢ | 89¢ | $183.39 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | Yes | $600 | 90¢ | 100¢ | $57.30 |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | $600.01 | 93¢ | 96¢ | $20.40 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | No | $600 | 92¢ | 94¢ | $9.60 |
| EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31? | No | $675.91 | 82¢ | 83¢ | $4.41 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abkha | $901k | $901k | 26.2% | 100% | $3.5M |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k | 14.9% | 100% | $5.7M |
| dromedaryy | $612k | $678k | 3.6% | 41.2% | $12.7M |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k | 15.5% | 41.8% | $15.6M |
| Yeueu | $472k | $523k | 3.1% | 48.9% | $6.5M |
| e46m3 | $1.3M | $520k | 4.2% | 61.1% | $22.5M |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k | -14.2% | 54.5% | $3.4M |
| defillama7 | $594k | $321k | 7.3% | 62.3% | $6.4M |
| sumolive | $267k | $267k | 59.2% | 100% | $453k |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | $176k | $238k | 6.3% | 61.4% | $27.9M |