0x64b460a36d9d160816e6ae799ff117a9cc1e055e
demosthenes474 has lost $3.3k on Polymarket across 105 markets, winning 27% of the ones that resolved. Crypto is the strength: $16 over 4 positions, mostly Bitcoin markets. Right now it holds 4 open positions worth $298, the largest on “Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic…” (Yes). Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 4k |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 728 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 4 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | Yes | 6k |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen | $2.0M | $1.6M |
| timetowander | $1.1M | $1.3M |
| 0xa3a4… | $1.6M | $1.2M |
| CoffeeDespiser | $1.1M | $993k |
| Abkha | $901k | $901k |
| LlamaLoco0000 | $790k | $865k |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $827k |
| duderr | $1.7M | $809k |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | $1.6M | $711k |
The same wallet's all-time P&L card, live from Polynyx, and every ranked Politics wallet by name — free to browse, bots filtered.
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.